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Is Brexit Over? Lessons from the Electoral Geography of the Local Elections

12 May 2023

Previously we have examined the extent to which the relationship between attitudes towards Brexit and party support has changed since 2019, when most Leave voters backed the Conservatives and most Remain supporters did not. We noted that support for the Conservatives has collapsed among those who voted Leave in 2016, while support for Labour has […]


Is The Brexit Debate Really Over? Perhaps Not

10 March 2023

For the most part, politicians on both sides of the Brexit debate have decided that the decision made seven years ago is not for turning. Not only do the Conservatives, who implemented Brexit, take that view but Labour spokespersons also state that the decision to leave has been taken and should not be revisited. Meanwhile, […]


Brexit and Party Support: Looking Through a Different Lens

3 February 2023

In recent blogs we have chartered how public opinion has swung away from backing Brexit, thanks not least to greater pessimism among Leave voters about the economic consequences of being outside the EU. Meanwhile, most Remain voters, though only a minority of Leave supporters, would like a closer relationship with the EU than that provided […]


The Electoral Legacy of Brexit: Evidence from the 2022 English Local Elections

19 May 2022

Brexit played a central role in the outcome of the 2019 general election. Those who had voted Leave in 2016 swung strongly towards the Conservatives. In winning an overall majority of 80, the party captured from Labour some Leave-inclined parliamentary constituencies that the Conservatives had not previously won since at least the 1930s. Unsurprisingly, Labour […]


What Do Voters Make of the Brexit Deal Now?

16 December 2021

It is now nearly a year since the formal process for Britain’s withdrawal from the EU was concluded. At the end of last year, the UK left the single market and customs union, and since then it has been trading with the EU on the basis of the Trade and Co-operation Agreement that was unveiled […]


How Strong are Brexit Identities Now?

15 December 2021

Following the EU referendum, the UK witnessed a rise of Brexit identities as people aligned themselves with opposing sides in the Brexit debate. Many of the country’s citizens now saw themselves as Remainers or Leavers. These Brexit identities were often felt more strongly than party identities. But what of these Brexit identities now? It has […]


How Leavers and Remainers Diverged in the 2019 Election: Evidence from the Polls

13 December 2021

Following yesterday’s second anniversary of the 2019 general election, today sees the launch of another book on that contest. This is a volume on ‘Political Communication’ in the election. It uniquely brings together the perspectives and insights of academics, pollsters, journalists and campaigners on the interplay during the course of the campaign between party strategy, […]



Brexit Revives Trust in Government – Among Leavers

21 October 2021

The latest British Social Attitudes (BSA) report, published today, has as one of its central themes the impact of Brexit. One chapter by Alex Scholes and myself at the impact that the delivery of Brexit at the end of January 2020 has had on people’s attitudes towards how they are governed.  Meanwhile a second chapter, […]


Five Years On: Has Brexit Been A Success?

22 June 2021

Five years ago this week, the UK voted by 52% to 48% to leave the European Union. After two general elections and an extended parliamentary stalemate, that decision was eventually implemented on January 31 2020, though it then took another eleven months before the UK left the EU single market and Customs Union. This is […]


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