Lessons from the ‘Brexit: What The Nation Really Thinks’ Poll

6 November 2018 Comment Perceived consequences of leaving the EU The Brexit process The Brexit Vote: Right or Wrong? What should Brexit mean?

Last night saw the publication of the biggest poll yet on attitudes towards Brexit to come from a non-partisan source. Survation interviewed just over 20,000 voters between 20 October and 2 November for a Channel 4 programme, Brexit: What The Nation Really Thinks, made by Renegade Productions in which voters were asked their views on […]



‘Perhaps It’ll All be OK in the End?’ The Contrast in Perceptions of the Short-Term and Long-Term Economic Consequences of Brexit

16 October 2018 Comment Perceived consequences of leaving the EU The economic debate

One of the persistent findings of the polling on attitudes towards Brexit – both before and since the referendum itself – has been that voters are more likely to think that Brexit will be bad for Britain’s economy than anticipate that it will be beneficial. However, there has also been some evidence that voters’ views […]


Nicola Sturgeon’s Brexit Dilemma

5 October 2018 Comment The Brexit process

Doubtless the question that delegates gathering at the SNP conference in Glasgow this weekend will have uppermost in their minds is whether Nicola Sturgeon will fire the starting gun for a second independence referendum. When in June of last year she announced that she was putting on hold the Scottish Parliament’s request to Westminster that […]



Introduction to our ‘EURef2 Poll of Polls’

28 September 2018 Comment The Brexit Vote: Right or Wrong?

One of the most widely cited features of this site before the EU referendum was a ‘poll of polls’. This was simply an average of the level of support for Remain and Leave as recorded in the six most recently conducted polls of referendum vote intentions. Its purpose was to smooth out some of the […]



A Question of Wording? Another Look at Polling on a Second Referendum

28 August 2018 Comment The Brexit process

The question of whether or not there should be a second referendum has been one of the hottest topics in the Brexit debate during the summer. In part, the debate has been stimulated by the relatively adverse reaction with which the Chequers Agreement was greeted, a reaction that led some, such as the former Conservative […]


Is There A New Geography of Brexit?

17 August 2018 Comment Sources of persuasion The Brexit Vote: Right or Wrong?

Much excitement has been created this week by an analysis of YouGov polling data released by the anti-Brexit Best for Britain campaign and first reported by The Observer. Using a statistical technique (multi-level regression and post-stratification) that, inter alia, helped YouGov anticipate that the Conservatives would lose their overall majority in last year’s general election, […]


Why Chequers Has Gone Wrong for Theresa May

17 July 2018 Comment The Brexit process What should Brexit mean?

No less eight than eight polls wholly or partly about Brexit have been conducted since the Cabinet gathered at Chequers last Friday week (6 July). Both the statement about Brexit that was issued at the end of that meeting and the white paper published the subsequent Thursday have received a critical response in some quarters, […]