Voters have now had nearly a year to consider how well the Brexit deal that the UK government negotiated with the EU has been working out in practice. This paper examines public expectations and attitudes towards the outcome of the Brexit negotiations during the course of the Brexit process, and assesses some of the possible […]
This paper assesses the success, so far as public opinion is concerned, of the EU referendum held five years ago this month. Using a unique collection of NatCen Panel surveys conducted throughout the last five years, it examines first of all whether individual voters have changed their minds about Brexit and whether collectively there has […]
Now that the UK has left the EU single market and customs union, it has acquired responsibility for a range of policy areas that hitherto have lain wholly or in part within the competence of the EU. One of the key motivations for doing so, according to those who campaigned in favour of a Leave […]
The election held on December 12th 2019 was one of the most important in British history. It was precipitated when the Liberal Democrats and the SNP agreed to support the Conservative government’s call for a general election that was intended to end a parliamentary stalemate over whether and how Brexit should proceed. The outcome – […]
Following the Conservatives’ success in winning the December 2019 general election, the UK left the European Union at the end of January 2020. The country is now scheduled to exit the single market and the customs union at the end of this year, by which point it is intended that an agreement will have been […]
The arrival of Boris Johnson in Downing St has resulted in a marked change of tone in the debate about Brexit. The new administration has signalled that, if it is unable to secure a new Brexit deal by the scheduled date for the UK’s departure of 31 October, it will leave the EU without a […]
The UK has decided to leave the EU, thanks to a vote in a referendum held in June 2016 in which 52% backed leaving, while only 48% said that they wanted to remain. During the last two years, the UK and the EU have endeavoured to give effect to that vote. To date, they have […]
It has long been evident that these days relatively few voters feel strongly attached to a political party. But it has been suggested that, in the wake of the EU referendum, many people regard themselves as either a strong ‘Remainer’ or a strong ‘Leaver’. Using data from the most recent wave of questions about Brexit […]
The negotiations between the UK and the EU are due to reach a conclusion this autumn. But how have voters reacted to the Brexit process so far and what impact has that reaction had on support for leaving the EU? This paper reports on the latest findings of a two-year multiwave study of public attitudes […]
The debate about Brexit has a particular resonance north of the border. Unlike England and Wales, where a majority voted to leave the EU, Scotland voted – by 62% to 38% – in favour of remaining in the EU. This report examines whether voters […]
Despite the apparent ambiguity of the stances on Brexit adopted by the Conservatives and Labour, this report by John Curtice shows that voters’ views about Brexit did influence how people voted in the 2017 election – with implications for the values that were reflected in how people voted.
This paper, by Alina Carabat, Kirby Swales and John Curtice, analyses the extent to which, at the time of the EU referendum, members of the same household agreed with each other on whether the UK should remain in or leave the EU.
The UK public, including those who voted Leave in the EU referendum, have become more critical of the way the negotiations are being handled and more pessimistic about what the consequences of Brexit will be.
What kind of Brexit would voters in Scotland actually like to see? This new report by John Curtice provides the first in-depth examination of attitudes in Scotland towards a number of the issues that will have to be settled during the Brexit negotiations.
This new report by John Curtice assesses what ‘the people’ are hoping will emerge from the Brexit negotiations. We first reported on this issue last November, and this new report follows this work up with the findings of a second round of interviews that were conducted in recent weeks.
What were the ‘real’ reasons behind the Brexit vote? The purpose of this report is to provide a high-level overview of the main findings from an analysis of the latest and highest quality data. We hope that it will stimulate debate, discussion and further research.
This paper reports on how a representative sample of voters responded to a wide range of questions on what they would like to be included in agreements negotiated between the UK and the EU.
Or, Why the remain campaign failed.
This paper analyses what influenced people’s attitudes in the EU referendum towards the economic arguments for and against EU membership and considers the implications for the ensuing debate about the terms on which the UK should seek to leave.
This paper considers whether phone or internet polls are more likely to represent accurately the current distribution of voting intentions amongst the general population.
This paper considers whether phone or internet polls are more likely to represent accurately the current distribution of voting intentions amongst the general population.
This paper addresses the question of what lies behind our attitudes towards Europe, using newly published data from the latest British Social Attitudes survey.
What are the issues that matter most to voters in the EU referendum? This paper addresses this question by looking at what, according to recent polls, appear to be the issues that most divide those who wish to Leave and those who would prefer to Remain.
This paper examines the nature and scale of differences in support for the European Union across England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland.
This analysis paper examines the likely significance of European identity in the debate about Britain’s membership of the European Union.
Using the evidence of recent opinion polls as well as two major surveys, we examine in this paper which kinds of voters appear more likely to want to leave the EU and which are more likely to want to remain.
