How likely or unlikely is it that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade deal at the end of the transition period on 31st December?

Fieldwork dates: 9 September 2020 - 17 December 2020
Data from: United Kingdom
Results from: 5 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely is it that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade deal at the end of the transition period on 31st December?
Fieldwork end date Pollster	17 December 2020 Poll by Opinium	4 December 2020 Poll by Opinium	20 November 2020 Poll by Opinium	6 November 2020 Poll by Opinium	11 September 2020 Poll by Opinium
Very likely	17%	16%	14%	17%	19%
Quite likely	29%	29%	31%	33%	33%
Neither likely nor unlikely	21%	20%	21%	17%	20%
Quite unlikely	14%	15%	15%	13%	12%
Very unlikely	5%	3%	3%	4%	4%
Don’t know / not sure	14%	17%	15%	17%	14%

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Poll details

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Full question wording

How likely or unlikely do you think it is that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade deal at the end of the transition period on 31st December?

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Topics

The Brexit process