How likely or unlikely is it that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade deal at the end of the transition period on 31st December?

Fieldwork dates: 9 September 2020 - 17 December 2020
Data from: United Kingdom
Results from: 5 polls

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Results for: How likely or unlikely is it that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade deal at the end of the transition period on 31st December?
Fieldwork end date Pollster	17 December 2020 Poll by Opinium	4 December 2020 Poll by Opinium	20 November 2020 Poll by Opinium	6 November 2020 Poll by Opinium	11 September 2020 Poll by Opinium
Very likely	20%	19%	17%	20%	22%
Quite likely	34%	35%	37%	39%	38%
Neither likely nor unlikely	24%	24%	25%	20%	23%
Quite unlikely	16%	18%	18%	15%	14%
Very unlikely	6%	4%	4%	5%	5%

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Poll details

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Full question wording

How likely or unlikely do you think it is that the UK will leave the European Union without a trade deal at the end of the transition period on 31st December?

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Topics

The Brexit process