How Leave Won Amongst the Politically Disengaged

20 December 2016 Comment The EU Referendum

One of the key points of speculation during the EU referendum campaign was what impact voter turnout might have on the outcome. Support for Remain was known to be higher amongst younger people, who generally tend to be less likely to vote, but also higher amongst graduates, who tend to be more likely to do […]


Understanding the Leave Vote: What Tipped The Balance?

7 December 2016 Comment The EU Referendum

Six months on from the EU Referendum, today we publish a new analysis paper that looks at the question ‘Who voted Leave and why?’. The paper uses new data from NatCen’s mixed mode random probability panel as well as the extensive evidence available in the British Election Study internet panel. The paper reveals that the […]


What Do Voters Want From Brexit?

16 November 2016 Comment What should Brexit mean?

Given how contentious the debate about the desirable shape of Brexit is proving to be, it is perhaps surprising that there has not been more polling than we have seen so far on what voters would like to emerge from the negotiations between the UK and the EU. Apart from a number of readings on […]



Our New Remit: Brexit

28 October 2016 Comment What should Brexit mean?

Regular readers will doubtless have noticed that the EU referendum has come and long since gone – yet we are still up and running! Discerning readers may have noticed too a few tweaks that have been made to the site in recent weeks. We are, for example, no longer featuring information on how people propose […]





Buyers’ Remorse?

8 July 2016 Comment Perceived consequences of leaving the EU The EU Referendum

Now that the UK has voted to leave the EU, it faces an important new question. What relationship, if any, would it like to have with the European Union in future – and what kind of relationship with the UK might the EU itself be willing contemplate? The options would appear to range from the […]


How Leave Won the Battle but Remain May Still Win the War

23 June 2016 Comment The EU Referendum

Late yesterday and today have seen the inevitable last minute flurry of polls of voting intentions in the referendum. Polls have been released by six pollsters based in the UK, Opinium, TNS, ComRes, YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Populus, while there have also been a couple of polls from overseas pollsters, Survey Monkey (USA) and IBRIS […]